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Will the VTOL aircraft be completely replaced by drones?

The first flight of the VTOL aircraft was in 1907, over a century has passed, and it is still active in the stage of different industries, such as shooting amazing videos for films, recording footage for mapping software, delivering cargo and packages for logistics, etc.


While the unmanned aerial vehicle, drones, occurred in 1849, even earlier than the VTOL, but did not glow until recently after commercial applications stop being its major and only stage, its expanding speed is much faster than the VTOL aircraft due to the compact structure, easy to use remote controlling platforms and the affordable price. What stops it from completely replacing the VTOL aircraft is the limited flight time, which cannot be fixed by replacing or changing some internal elements before a more powerful energy container is developed to replace the current batteries.



The comparison is clear, between the flight time, size, and price.

So the market activates its influence and divides into two big portions the VTOL and drones based on the flight time requirement mostly. But each of them is trying to expand its territories by reducing its disadvantage, like size, and price. Now there are smaller and cheaper VTOL drones with shorter flight times (like the Autel Dragonfish), and bigger drones with longer flight times and a little bit more expensive (like the DJI Matrice 300). Their applicationsboundary gets blurrier day by day, and all struggle to survive. We can find more and more drones being used for photography, inspection, surveillance, emergency, etc. We can also find some VTOL drones being applied for civilian applications, such as coastal patrolling, first response, and disaster data collection for the insurance company.

The core issue is about the power, if the drone could be free from the power limit, it would steal more opportunities from the VTOL. However, there is no sign of a revolutionary battery technology coming, only several drone charging docks are developed, which brings potential threats to the VTOL aircrafts market share but is not deadly. Because the flight time of a drone is still the same, for large-area continuous surveying work, only the VTOL can do the job.

Yes, the VTOL aircraft is on the decline, some company already given up on it, such as the Parrot, but it will keep lingering before the new power-containing technology came.

 

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